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2013 (Vol. 5, Issue: 04)
Article Information:

Pricing for Catastrophe Bonds Based on Expected-value Model

Junfei Chen, Lu Zhang and Lingyan Xu
Corresponding Author:  Junfei Chen 

Key words:  Catastrophe bonds, expected utility theory, pricing, value theory, , ,
Vol. 5 , (04): 1471-1479
Submitted Accepted Published
April 13, 2012 June 01, 2012 February 01, 2013

As the catastrophes cannot be avoided and result in huge economic losses, therefore the compensation issue for catastrophe losses become an important research topic. Catastrophe bonds can effectively disperse the catastrophe risks which mainly undertaken by the government and the insurance companies currently and focus on capital more effectively in broad capital market, therefore to be an ideal catastrophe securities product. This study adopts Expectancy Theory to supplement and improve the pricing of catastrophe bonds based on Value Theory. A model of expected utility is established to determine the conditions of the expected revenue R of catastrophe bonds. The pricing model of the value function is used to get the psychological value of R,U (R-R‾), for catastrophe bonds. Finally, the psychological value is improved by the value according to expected utility and this can more accurately evaluate catastrophe bonds at a reasonable price. This research can provide decision-making for the pricing of catastrophe bonds.
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  Cite this Reference:
Junfei Chen, Lu Zhang and Lingyan Xu, 2013. Pricing for Catastrophe Bonds Based on Expected-value Model.  Research Journal of Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology, 5(04): 1471-1479.
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ISSN (Online):  2040-7467
ISSN (Print):   2040-7459
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