Abstract

With China’s economic and social development, China’s demand for timber keeps increasing and China’s dependence on round wood import remains high. In this study, the risk change of China’s round wood import was examined in two perspectives, which were the risk and the diversification of China’s round wood import. The study also discussed how to optimize the import structure using quadratic model. Optimization results suggested that import diversification was an important way to reduce the risk of round wood import; China shall adjust its sources of imports to reduce the risk.

Keywords:

Import diversification, quadratic model, risk assessment, round wood import,

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Competing interests

The authors have no competing interests.

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