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Abstract
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Article Information:
New Intelligent Method of Forecasting Control for Fishing Boat Security in the Coastal Area of Fujian
Wei He and Tao Lu
Corresponding Author: Wei He
Submitted: May 04, 2012
Accepted: June 08, 2012
Published: December 01, 2012 |
Abstract:
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To ensure the fishing boat security in the coastal area of Fujian, it is imperative to develop
efficient forecasting control system to manage the boats operation in a safe and orderly process. The core
issue of establishing the forecasting control system is to predict the relationship of the real time traffic flow
and the boat security condition. However, literature review shows that limited reports have addressed on
this problem. Hence, a new intelligent forecasting control method base on the Chaos-Particle Swarm
Optimization (PSO) and Fuzzy Neural Network (FNN) is proposed for the short time traffic flow prediction
in this paper. The Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) was first used to denoise the original ship traffic
flow observation and then the Chaos-PSO-FNN was applied to the forecasting of the ship traffic flow and
hence established the relationship of the real time traffic flow and the boat security condition. The
advantage of the proposed approach is that the Chaos-PSO is employed to optimize the FNN parameters to
overcome the premature problem of the FNN. As a result, the forecasting control performance is enhanced
greatly. In the experiment analysis, the fishing boat traffic information provided by the Fujian marine
bureau has been used to evaluate the newly proposed method. The analysis results demonstrate that the
proposed Chaos-PSO-FNN method can extract distinct features of the traffic data and the prediction rate is
beyond 93.7%. In addition, it found that the fishing boats is supposed to be safe when their travel time
avoids the rush time of the traffic flow. This result agrees well with the real data. Thus, the new intelligent
forecasting control method for fishing boat security can be used in practice.
Key words: Chaos-PSO, fishing boat security, forecasting control, fuzzy neural network, traffic flow prediction, ,
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Cite this Reference:
Wei He and Tao Lu, . New Intelligent Method of Forecasting Control for Fishing Boat Security in the Coastal Area of Fujian. Research Journal of Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology, (23): 5251-5260.
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ISSN (Online): 2040-7467
ISSN (Print): 2040-7459 |
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