Research Article | OPEN ACCESS
Modeling of Intercity Travel Mode Choice Behavior for Non-Business Trips within Libya
1Manssour A. Abdulsalam Bin Miskeen, 2Ahmed Mohamed Alhodairi and 1Riza Atiq Abdullah Bin O.K. Rahmat
1Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, National
University of Malaysia, 43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia
2Department of Architecture and Urban Planning, Faculty of Engineering, Sabha University, Libya
Research Journal of Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology 2014 3:442-453
Received: February 06, 2013 | Accepted: March 08, 2013 | Published: January 20, 2014
Abstract
This study is pioneer in investigating mode-choice behavior of inter-city traveler for non-business trips in Libya, for this we have successfully developed and validated disaggregate behavioral inter-city non-business travel mode choice model, based on a binary logit structure. Four major inter-city corridors in Libya were the source of the data required for the development of the model. Data was collected based on interviews with 576 respondents. Majority of these data (nearly two-thirds) were used for calibrating the model, whereas, the remaining data were used for validating the model. This study, which is the first of its kind in Libya, investigates the intercity traveler’s mode-choice behavior for non-business trips. The proposed model elucidates car/air transport users’ behavior and investigates their responses to the scenario of enhancing intercity transport. We have also investigated the prospect of car drivers shifting to air transport, based on a case of a diminution in airplane out-of-vehicle travel time (access time to airport, waiting time at airport and egress time from airport). We deem that the findings of this study will facilitate all the levels of decision-makers to sensibly allocate resources for the enhancement of air transportation.
Keywords:
Binary logit model, disaggregate analysis, improved air transports, intercity mode choice behavior, modal shift,
References
-
Aaheim, H.A. and E.K. Hauge, 2005. Impacts of Climate Changes on Travel Habits: A National Assessment Based on Individual Choices. Center for International Climate and Environmental Research, Blindern, Oslo.
-
Abdelwahab, M.W., J.D. Innes and M.A. Stevens, 1992. Development of disaggregate mode choice models of intercity travel in Canada. Canadian J. Civil Eng., 19: 965-974.
CrossRef
-
Algarad, S.N., 1993. Disaggregate mode choice modeling for intercity non-business travelers in the Saudi Arabia-Bahrain corridor. Ph.D. Thesis, Indiana University, Bloomington.
-
Algers, S., S. Hansen and G. Tegner, 1975. Role of Waiting time, comfort and convenience in model choice for work trip. Transport. Res. Record, 534: 38-51.
-
Al-Ahmadi, H., 1989. Transferability of mode choice models within Saudi Arabia. Ph.D. Thesis, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan State University, Lansing, MI.
-
Al-Ahmadi, H.M., 2006. Development of intercity mode choice models for Saudi Arabia. JKAU: Eng. Sci., 17(1): 3-21.
CrossRef
-
Al-Sughaiyer, M.A., 1994. Effect of perceptual concepts in intercity mode-choice models of Saudi Arabia. Ph.D. Thesis, Department of Civil Engineering, Transportation Division, King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia.
-
Allison, P.D., 1999. Logistic Regression using the SAS System: Theory and Application. SAS Publishing, Cary, NC.
-
Ashiabor, S., H. Baik and A. Trani, 2007a. Logit Models to Forecast Nationwide Intercity Travel Demand in the United States. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2007, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., pp: 1-12.
-
Ashiabor, S., H. Baik, A. Trani and N.A. Hinze, 2007b. Development of an Intercity Mode Choice Models for New Aviation Technologies. American Society of Civil Engineers, Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board NO. 01079429, pp: 61-77.
-
Atherton, T.J. and M.E. Ben-Akiva, 1976. Transferability and updating of disaggregate travel demand models. Transport. Res. Record, 610: 12-18.
-
Banai-Kashani, A., 1984. Travel demand (Modal Spilt) estimation by hierarchical measurement. J. Market Res. Soc., 48: 295-306.
-
Beimborn, E.A., 1968. An examination of the effects of the access portion of a trip upon an intercity mode choice. Ph.D. Thesis, Northwestern University, Evanston, Ill.
-
Ben-Akiva, M. and S.R. Lerman, 1985. Discrete Choice Analysis. MIT, Cambridge, Mass.
-
Ben-Akiva, M. and T. Morikawa, 1990. Estimation of Travel Demand Models from Multiple Data Sources. In: Koshi, M. (Ed.), Transportation and Traffic Theory. Elsevier, New York.
-
Bhat, C.R., 1997. An Endogenous segmentation mode choice model with an application to intercity travel. Transport. Sci., 31(1): 34-47.
CrossRef
-
Bradley, M. and A. Daly, 1997. Estimation of Logit Choice Models using Mixed Stated-Preference and Revealed-Preference Information. In: Stopher, P. and M. Lee-Gosselin (Eds.), Understanding Travel Behavour in an Era of Change. Pergamon, Oxford.
-
Bruzelius, N., 1979. The Value of Travel Time: Theory and Measurement. Croom Helm, London.
-
Byung. L., N. Takashi and H. Yasuo, 1995. Analysis of travel mode choice models considering the subjective indicators of alternatives. Mern. Fac. Eng. Osaka City Univ., 36: 39-46.
-
Cox, D.R., 1972. Regression models and life-tables. J. Royal Statist. Soc. Series B Methodol., 34: 187-220.
-
De Palma, A. and D. Rochat, 1999. Understanding individual travel decision: Results from commuters survey in Geneva. Transportation, 26(3): 263-281.
CrossRef
-
Evans, J.E., 2004. Chapter 9 - Transit Scheduling and Frequency, In: Traveler Response to Transportation System Changes. Transportation Research Board, Washington D.C.
-
Forinash, C.V. and F.S. Koppelman, 1993. Application and interpretation of nested logit models of intercity mode choice. Transport. Res. Record, 1413: 98-106.
-
Goodwin, P.B., 1992. A review of new demand elasticities with special reference to short and long run effects of price changes. J. Trans. Econ. Policy, 26(2): 155-169.
-
Grayson, A., 1981. Diaggregate model of choice in intercity travel. Transport. Res. Record, 835: 36-42.
-
Guo, Z. and N.H.M. Wilson, 2004. Assessment of the transfer penalty for transit trips: Geographic information system-based disaggregate modeling approach. Transport. Res. Record, 1872: 10-18.
CrossRef
-
Hanly, M. and J. Dargay, 1999. Bus fare elasticities: A literature review. Report to the Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions, April, 1999.
-
Harvey, G., 1988. ACCESS: Models of airport access and airport choice for the San Francisco bay region. Report of the Deakin Harvey Skabardonis, Berkeley, Calif.
-
Hensher, D., 1994. Stated preference analysis of travel choices: The state of practice. Transportation, 21: 107-133.
CrossRef
-
Hensher, D.A., 1997. Establishing a Fare Elasticity Regime for Urban Passenger Transport: No Concession Commuters. Working Paper, ITS-WP-97-6, Institute of Transport Studies, University of Sydney.
-
Hess, D., J. Brown and D. Shoup, 2005. Waiting for the bus. J. Public Transport., 7(4): 67-84.
CrossRef
-
Kain, J.F. and L. Zhi, 1996. Econometrics analysis of determinants of transit ridership: 1960-1990. Prepared for Volpe National Transport System Center, U.S. Department of Transportation.
-
Kanafani, A., 1983. Transportation Demand Analysis. McGraw-Hill Book Co., New York.
-
Khattak and De Palma, 1996. The impact of adverse weather conditions on the propensity to change travel decisions: A survey of brussels commuters. Trans. Resour., 31: 181-203.
-
Kleinbaum, D.G., L.L. Kupper and K.E. Muller, 2007. Applied Regression Analysis and other Multivariable Methods. 4th Edn., Duxbury Press, Cengage Learning, Australia, Belmont, CA, pp: 906, ISBN: 0495384968.
-
Koppelman, F.S., 1990. Multidimensional model system for intercity travel choice behavior. J. Transport. Res. Board, 1241: 1-8.
-
Koppelman, F., G. Kuah and M. Hirsh, 1984. Review of Intercity Passenger Travel Demand Modeling: Mid-60's to Mid-80's. The Transportation Center and Development of Civil Engineering, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, pp: 136.
-
Kumar, P.M. and C. Mallikarjuna, 2011. Mode choice modeling for intercity transportation in India: A case of guwahati to five metro cities. Int. J. Earth Sci. Eng., 04(06): 364-374.
-
Kumar, C.V., D. Basu and B. Maitra, 2004. Modeling generalized cost of travel for rural bus users: A case study. J. Public Transport., 7: 59-72.
CrossRef
-
Leake, G.R. and J.R. Underwood, 1977. An intercity terminal access modal choice model. Transport. Plann. Technol., 4: 11-21.
CrossRef
-
Litman, T., 2004. Transit price elasticities and cross-elasticities. J. Public Transport., 7(2): 37-58.
CrossRef
-
Liu, R. and G. Li, 2004. The Subjective Values of Safety and Security in the Context of Intercity Travel. Transportation Research Board 83rd Annual Meeting Preprint CD-ROM, 2004.
-
Lunsford, M.E. and G.D. Gosling, 1994. Airport Choice and Ground Access Mode Choice Models: A Review and Analysis of Selected Literature. Working Paper UCB-ITS-WP-94-5. Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Berkeley, Calif.
-
Lyles, W. and R.S. Mallick, 1990. An intercity model of model spilt considering four modes. J. Adv. Transport., 24(3): 191-212.
CrossRef
-
Mackett, R.L. and A. Ahen, 2000. Potential for mode transfer of short trips. Report of the Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions, Centre for Transport Studies, University College London.
-
Mandel, G. and Rothengatter, 1997. A disaggregate box-cox logit mode choice model of intercity passenger travel in Germany and its implications for high-speed rail demand forecasts. Ann. Region. Sci., 31: 99-120.
CrossRef -
Manheim, M., 1979. Fundamentals of Transportation System Analysis. Basic Concepts. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
PMid:17759411
-
Manssour, A.A.B.M. and R.A.O.K. Rahmat, 2011. Development of disaggregate mode choice models of intercity travel in Libya. Proceeding of the 6th IEEE Joint International Information Technology and Artificial Intelligence Conference (ITAIC), China, Chongqing, 2: 197-201.
-
Manssour, A.A.B.M. and R.A.O.K. Rahmat, 2012. Influencing intercity mode choice behavior in Libya. Int. J. Inform. Elec. Eng., 2(4): 547-551.
-
Manssour, A.A.B.M., R.A.O.K. Rahmat and A.M. Alhodairi, 2012. Modelling intercity route choice behaviour to explore road users' response to road pricing policy in Libya. Australian J. Basic Appl. Sci., 6(9): 431-439.
-
Manssour, A.A.B.M., R.A.O.K. Rahmat and A.M. Alhodairi, 2013. Modeling of Intercity transport mode choice behavior in Libya: A binary logit model for business trips by private car and intercity bus. Australian J. Basic Appl. Sci., 7(1): 302-311.
-
McFadden, D., 1979. Quantitative Methods for Analysing Travel Behaviour of Individuals: Some Recent Development. In: Hensiher, D. and P. Stopher (Eds.), Behavioural Travel Modelling. Groom Helm Ltd., London, UK.
-
Mehndiratta, R.M. and M. Hansen, 1997. Analysis of discrete choice data with repeated observations: Comparison of three techniques in intercity travel case. Transport. Res. Record, 1607: 69-73.
CrossRef
-
Miller, E.J., 2004. The trouble with intercity travel demand models. J. Transport. Res. Nat. Acad., 1895: 94-101.
-
Moreau, A., 1992. Public transport waiting times as experienced by customers: Marketing research involving the Grenoble system. Public Trans. Int., 41(3): 52-68.
-
MVA Consultancy, ITS University of Leeds and TSU University of Oxford, 1987. Value of travel Time Savings, In: Policy Journals. Newbury, Berks.
-
Neveu, A., F. Koppelman and P. Stopher, 1979. Perception of comfort, convenience and reliability for work trips. Transport. Res. Record, 723: 59-63.
-
Ortuzar de, J.D. and L.G. Willumsen, 1994. Modeling Transport. John Wiley and Sons, UK.
-
Ortuzar, J. and L. Willmusen, 2001. Modelling Transport. John Wiley & Sons Press, third edition (2001).
PMid:11267568
-
Polak, J. and P. Jones, 1997. Using Stated-Preference Methods to Examine Traveler Preferences and Responses. In: Stopher, P. and M. Lee-Gosselin, (Eds.), Understanding Travel Behavour in an Era of Change. Pergamon, Oxford.
-
Praveen, K.M. and C. Mallikarjuna, 2011. Mode choice modelling for intercity transportation in India: A case of Guwahati to five metro cities. Int. J. Earth Sci. Eng., 04(06): 364-374.
-
Reid, E., S. William and D.E. William, 2004. school location and student travel analysis of factors affecting mode choice. J. Transport. Res. Board, 1895: 55-63.
CrossRef
-
Riza, U.K.M., 2004. Urban Transport Management System. Engineering Faculty. UKM IRPA 0 4 - 02 - 02 - 0000-PR59/09.
-
Sen, A.K., G. Tiwari and V. Upadhyay, 2010. Estimating marginal external costs of transport in Delhi. Transport Policy, 17: 27-37.
CrossRef
-
Spear, B.D., 1984. An analysis of the demand for airport bus services at Washington national and Dulles international airport's. Report DOT-TSC-FAA-84-2. US Department of Transportation, Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, Mass.
-
Stopher, P.R., H.M.A. Metcalf, C.G. Wilmot, A.J. Catalina and C.C. Schimpeler, 1999. Estimating patronage for a feasibility study of high speed rail in Thailand. Transport. Res. Record, 1691: 12-18.
CrossRef
-
Tillema, T., B. Van Wee and D. Ettema, 2010. The influence of (Toll-Related) travel costs in residential location decisions of households: A stated choice approach. Transport. Res. Part A Policy Pract., 44(10): 785-796.
CrossRef
-
Transport and Road Research Laboratory, 1980. The demand for public transport. Report of the International Collaborative Study of the Factors Affecting Public Transport Patronage, Crowthorne, Berkshire.
-
Vovsha, P., 1998. Application of cross-nested logit model to mode choice in Tel Aviv, Israel, metropolitan area. Transport. Res. Record, 1607: 6-15.
CrossRef
-
Wardman, M., H. Julian and S. Stephen., 2001. Interchange and travel choice. Scottish Executive Central Research Unit, Report for the Scottish Executive by the Institute for Transport Studies at the University of Leeds and the Transport Research Institute at Napier University.
-
Watson, P.L., 1972. Predictions of intercity model choice from disaggregate behavioral and stochastic models. Highway Res. Record, 446: 28-35.
-
Watson, P.L., 1974. Comparison of the model structure an predictive power of aggregate and disaggregate models of intercity mode choice. Transport. Res. Record, 527: 59-65.
-
Wilson, R.F., S. Damodaran and J.D. Innes, 1990. Disaggregate mode choice models for intercity passenger travel in Canada. Canadian J. Civil Eng., 17: 184-191.
CrossRef
Competing interests
The authors have no competing interests.
Open Access Policy
This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
Copyright
The authors have no competing interests.
|
|
![](http://www.maxwellsci.com/images/RJASET-maxw.jpg) |
ISSN (Online): 2040-7467
ISSN (Print): 2040-7459 |
![Submit Manuscript](../images/sub.jpg) |
Information |
|
|
|
Sales & Services |
|
|
|