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     Research Journal of Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology


Verification of Forecasts from High Resolution Numerical Weather Prediction Model

1Nagender Aneja and 2Thomas George
1Universiti Brunei Darussalam, Brunei Darussalam
2IBM Research, Bangalore, India
Research Journal of Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology  2014  10:1255-1258
http://dx.doi.org/10.19026/rjaset.8.1092  |  © The Author(s) 2014
Received: May ‎04, ‎2014  |  Accepted: July ‎01, ‎2014  |  Published: September 15, 2014

Abstract

Assessment of forecast quality is a critical component for weather model development as well as evaluating the impact on weather sensitive business applications such as renewable energy forecasting, agriculture, insurance etc. This study presents forecast quality results of a high resolution numerical weather model deployed for the country of Brunei at Universiti Brunei Darussalam. We present the monthly accuracy and probability of detection scores for precipitation as well as accuracy scores for Relative Humidity (RH) and Dew Point Temperature (DPT) for the year 2013.

Keywords:

Accuracy , forecast quality , probability of detection , weather forecast,


References

  1. Aneja, N. and T. George, 2014. Alpha Testing for High Resolution Numerical Weather Prediction Model (Alpha- TW). Retrieved from: http:// 202.93.220.97:8080/alpha/.
    Direct Link
  2. BDMD, 2014. Brunei Darussalam Meteorological Department, Ministry of Communications, Brunei Darussalam, Jabatan Kajicuaca Brunei Darussalam. Retrieved from: http://www.bruneiweather. com.bn/.
    Direct Link
  3. DTC, 2005. The Weather Research and Forecasting Model. Developmental Testbed Center. Retrieved from: http://www.wrf-model.org/index.php.
    Direct Link
  4. DTC, 2007. Model Evaluation Tools. Developmental Testbed Center. Retrieved from: http:// www.dtcenter.org/met/users/.
    Direct Link
  5. Fowler, T.L., T.L. Jensen and B.G. Brown, 2012. Introduction to Forecast Verification. National Center for Atmospheric Research, USA. Retrieved from: http://www.dtcenter.org/met/users/docs/ presentations/WRF_Users_2012.pdf.
    Direct Link
  6. IBM, 2012. Deep Thunder. Retrieved from: http://www-03.ibm.com/ibm/history/ibm100/us/en/ icons/deepthunder/.
    Direct Link

Competing interests

The authors have no competing interests.

Open Access Policy

This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.

Copyright

The authors have no competing interests.

ISSN (Online):  2040-7467
ISSN (Print):   2040-7459
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