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Article Information:
Mathematical Modeling of Age Specific Marital Fertility Rates of Bangladesh
Rafiqul Islam
Corresponding Author: Rafiqul Islam
Submitted: 2009 June, 21
Accepted: 2009 August, 07
Published: |
Abstract:
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The purpose of this study is to build up mathematical models to age specific marital fertility rates
(ASMFRs) and forward cumulative ASMFRs of Bangladesh. For this, the secondary data of ASMFRs have
been taken from Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey (BDHS). It is observed that ASMFRs follows
quadratic polynomial model in 1996 and one degree polynomial model i. e. simple linear regression model in
1999-2000. On the other hand, forward cumulative ASMFRs follow cubic polynomial models in both cases.
Model validation technique, cross-validity prediction power (CV PP), , has been applied to these mathematical
models to check the validity of the models.
Key words: Age specific marital fertility rates (ASMFRs), Polynomial Model, Variance explained (R2), Cross validity prediction power (CVPP), F-test, ,
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Cite this Reference:
Rafiqul Islam, . Mathematical Modeling of Age Specific Marital Fertility Rates of Bangladesh. Research Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, (1): Page No: 19-22.
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ISSN (Online): 2040-7505
ISSN (Print): 2042-2024 |
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