Research Article | OPEN ACCESS
Investigating the Markov Property on Stock Returns: A Case Study of Ghana Stock Exchange
Sampson Wiredu, Abubakari A. Ghaniyyu and W. Abazing Mavis
Department of Statistics, Faculty of Mathematical Sciences, University for Development Studies,
P.O. Box 24, Navrongo, Ghana, West Africa
Current Research Journal of Economic Theory 2014 1:1-6
Received: December 17, 2012 | Accepted: January 07, 2013 | Published: March 20, 2014
Abstract
This study was conducted to investigate the Markov property using daily, weekly and monthly stock returns of Accra Brewery Limited (ABL) of the Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE) spanning from the period of November, 1990 to August, 2007. Using Shapiro-Wilk normality test, the study revealed that the returns are not normally distributed as they were leptokurtic in nature indicating high volatility. Using several tests namely, the correlogram, ADF, PP and KPSS, Runs and Wright’s non-parametric Variance ratio tests, the research concluded that the daily, weekly and monthly returns of GSE were stationary at level and do not follow random walk, hence do not have the Markov property.
Keywords:
Market efficiency, Markov property, returns series, stationarity, unit root test,
Competing interests
The authors have no competing interests.
Open Access Policy
This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
Copyright
The authors have no competing interests.
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ISSN (Online): 2042-485X
ISSN (Print): 2042-4841 |
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